Of the nominated films, I've seen:
--Barbie (Picture, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Song x2, Production Design, Costume)
--Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (Animated Feature)
--Nimona (Animated Feature)
--Indiana Jones & the Dial of Destiny (Score)
--Guardians of the Galaxy vol. 3 (Visual Effects)
My predictions:
Spoiler.
Best Picture: it *should* be Barbie so Robbie would get something, but AMPAS hates comedies, so Killers of the Flower Moon. Director: Christopher Nolan. Actor: Paul Giamatti, but I could also see Jeffrey Wright dark-horsing it. Actress: coin flip between Lily Gladstone & Emma Stone; either choice will...rock. Supporting Actor: hometown hero Sterling K. Brown! Supporting Actress: America Ferrera, to make up for Margot Robbie being snubbed. Original Screenplay: The Holdovers, just because of all the buzz. Adapted Screenplay: Barbie so Gerwig would get something. International Feature: Wim Wenders is still alive!? then obviously Perfect Days. Live Action Short: Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar Animated Feature: coin toss between Boy & the Heron or Across the Spider-Verse. Animated Short: War Is Over Documentary Feature: 20 Days in Mariupol Documentary Short: The Last Repair Shop Score: Killers of the Flower Moon, RIP Robbie Robertson Song: 2 nominations from Barbie splits their vote, so probably "Wahzhazhe". Sound: Mission Impossible, because sound mixing is historically Nolan's biggest weakness. Film Editing: Oppenheimer Cinematography: Poor Things Production Design: Barbie Costume Design: They'll probably toss Napoleon this bone, but it should be almost any of others (except Oppenheimer; men's suits have been nearly unchanged for over a century). Visual Effects: Guardians 3 or we riot. Makeup & Hair: probably Oppenheimer, but should be Poor Things.
I haven't seen any of the Best Animated nominees aside from 'Nimona' and 'Elemental', of which 'Nimona' is far superior. I wouldn't particularly mind if 'Nimona' lost to something else, but if it loses to 'Elemental', I'm going to be livid. It'd be the gotdang 'Finding Nemo' thing all over again.
